Tropical Atlantic Daily Report: Sunday, November 1, 2026

By Paul Harrison, Orbis Weather

Current to 6:47 a.m. EST (11:47 UTC), Sunday, November 1, 2026. Uses the NHC Tropical Weather Outlook issued 1:00 a.m. EST (0600 UTC) and the Tropical Weather Discussion issued 0615 UTC. Eastern time switched from EDT to EST overnight.

At a glance

The Atlantic basin is quiet: there are no tropical cyclones, and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) does not expect any to form in the next seven days.

• Active storms: none in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico.
• Threats to land: none. No tropical watches or warnings are in effect.
• Disturbances: none. NHC’s outlook says “Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.”
• Season to date: 10 named storms, 1 hurricane and 1 major hurricane, below the 1991-2020 average for this date. The season runs through November 30.

The National Hurricane Center and national weather services issue the official forecasts and warnings. Follow any evacuation order immediately.

Active storms

There are no active tropical or subtropical cyclones or potential tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin. NHC’s home page, updated 08:00 UTC, states: “There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.” With no storm threatening land, this report has no storm-threat section today.

Disturbances to watch

NHC is not tracking any disturbance with a chance of formation.

The Tropical Weather Discussion (0615 UTC) names no tropical waves and does not mention Saharan dust or wind shear. It notes scattered showers and thunderstorms along an Atlantic cold front from 31N51W to 25N63W. In the Gulf of Mexico, NHC expects a cold front to move into the northwest Gulf on Tuesday as a warm front develops over the northeast Gulf. Fresh trade winds off Colombia are raising seas of 5 to 7 ft [1.5 to 2.1 m] in the south-central Caribbean.

Season so far

The 2026 Atlantic season is running below average, with three fewer named storms and five fewer hurricanes than normal for this date.

The averages by November 1 come from NHC’s benchmark dates (the 13th named storm by October 25, the 6th hurricane by October 15, the 3rd major hurricane by October 28). NHC puts season Accumulated Cyclone Energy at 19.7, 83% below normal. The only hurricane, Isaias, peaked at 105 knots (about 120 mph [195 km/h]) during October 6-10. The latest system, Subtropical Storm Josephine, lasted October 21-22.

The Climate Prediction Center’s ENSO discussion of October 8 keeps an El Niño Advisory in effect and says a strong-to-very strong El Niño is likely through January-March 2027.

What to watch next

• Later today: NHC’s next Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook, which would add any new area of interest and its formation chances.
• Tuesday, November 3: the cold front NHC expects to move into the northwest Gulf of Mexico; local forecasts come from the US National Weather Service.
• Monday night into Tuesday: fresh to locally strong northeast to east winds and seas to near 11 ft [3.4 m] south of the Atlantic high, per NHC marine guidance.
• November 12: the next NOAA Climate Prediction Center ENSO discussion.
• November 30: the official end of the Atlantic hurricane season, per NHC.

About this report

This report summarizes official products from the National Hurricane Center and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, with issue times given in the zone each product uses (EST or UTC). It covers the Atlantic basin only; NHC also lists no tropical cyclones in the eastern or central North Pacific this morning. Figures can change with each new NHC product, which always takes precedence over this summary.

Glossary

• Tropical Weather Outlook: NHC’s regular product listing areas that could become tropical cyclones, with chances over 48 hours and 7 days.
• Tropical wave: a trough of low pressure moving westward across the tropics; some later develop into tropical cyclones.
• Major hurricane: a hurricane of Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
• Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE): a season total that combines how strong storms were and how long they lasted.
• El Niño: the warm phase of ENSO, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, a cycle of ocean temperatures in the tropical Pacific.

Frequently asked questions

Is any tropical storm threatening land today? No. There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin and no tropical watches or warnings in effect. NHC does not expect any to form over the next seven days.

Is the 2026 hurricane season over? Not officially. The Atlantic season runs from June 1 to November 30, according to NHC. NHC dates the climatological peak of the season to September 10.

Can storms still form in November? Yes. In the 1991-2020 average season, NHC’s benchmarks place the 7th hurricane by November 15 and the 14th named storm by November 19. Individual seasons can vary considerably from those average dates, NHC notes.

Where should people get official warnings? The National Hurricane Center issues Atlantic forecasts, watches and warnings. National weather services and local emergency managers issue local warnings and evacuation orders, which should be followed immediately.

Sources

• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook, issued 1:00 a.m. EST Nov 1, 2026
• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion, issued 0615 UTC Nov 1, 2026
• National Hurricane Center home page, updated 08:00 UTC Nov 1, 2026
• NHC 2026 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reports and season summary, summary as of 21 UTC Oct 31, 2026
• NHC Tropical Cyclone Climatology, 1991-2020 averages
• NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion, issued Oct 8, 2026
• Wikipedia: 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, consulted Nov 1, 2026 (cross-check only)