Tropical Atlantic Daily Report: Monday, November 2, 2026

By Paul Harrison, Orbis Weather

Current to 6:48 a.m. EST (11:48 UTC) on Monday, November 2, 2026. Based on the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 1:00 a.m. EST (06:00 UTC) and the Tropical Weather Discussion issued at 06:15 UTC (1:15 a.m. EST) on November 2.

At a glance

The Atlantic basin is quiet: there are no tropical cyclones, and NHC does not expect any to form in the next seven days.

• Active storms: none in the Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico as of NHC’s latest update.
• Threats to land: none from tropical cyclones. No watches or warnings are in effect.
• Disturbances: none. NHC’s outlook lists no areas of interest.
• Weather to note: strong to near-gale winds and rough seas off the southeastern US coast, and a cold front reaching the Texas coast on Tuesday.
• Season to date: 10 named storms, 1 hurricane and 1 major hurricane, below the 1991-2020 average for this date.

The National Hurricane Center and national weather services issue the official forecasts and warnings. If an evacuation order is issued, follow it immediately.

Active storms

There are no active tropical or subtropical cyclones, and no potential tropical cyclones, in the Atlantic basin. NHC’s home page, last updated at 08:10 UTC (3:10 a.m. EST) on November 2, states: “There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.” With no storm threatening land, this report has no storm-impact section today.

Disturbances to watch

NHC is not tracking any disturbances. Its outlook issued at 1:00 a.m. EST (06:00 UTC) states: “Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.”

The Tropical Weather Discussion analyzes no tropical waves. Its main features are non-tropical:

• Off the southeastern US: a coastal trough runs from near Charleston, South Carolina, to Jacksonville, Florida. Strong to near-gale winds blow north of 27°N and west of 70°W, with seas of 8 to 10 feet (2.4 to 3.0 m). NHC says broad low pressure may develop along a stationary front and spread the strong winds and rough seas eastward toward midweek, mainly north of 28°N.
• Gulf of Mexico: fresh to strong east winds and seas of 4 to 6 feet (1.2 to 1.8 m) over the northeastern Gulf. A cold front is forecast to reach the Texas coast on Tuesday afternoon and move over the northwestern Gulf Tuesday night into early Wednesday.
• Caribbean Sea: moderate to fresh trade winds and 4- to 6-foot (1.2 to 1.8 m) seas in the central and eastern Caribbean, with weaker winds and diminishing seas expected for the rest of the week.

The quiet pattern fits the calendar. NHC’s climatology page notes that most Atlantic activity falls between mid-August and mid-October.

Season so far

The 2026 season is running below average on every count. NHC’s season summary, current to 03:00 UTC on November 2, puts accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) at 19.7, which it lists as 83% below normal.

The season’s only hurricane, Isaias (October 6 to 10), reached major-hurricane strength, peaking at 105 knots (about 120 mph [195 km/h]). The most recent named system was Subtropical Storm Josephine, on October 21-22. The 2026 counts come from NHC’s season list (updated November 2). The averages are read from the date each storm count is normally reached in NHC’s climatology table. The season officially ends on November 30.

ENSO: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center discussion of October 8 keeps an El Niño Advisory in place and says “El Niño continues to strengthen, with a strong-to-very strong El Niño likely through January-March 2027.”

What to watch next

• Today, 7:00 a.m. EST (12:00 UTC): NHC’s next Tropical Weather Outlook, then every six hours (1:00 p.m., 7:00 p.m. and 1:00 a.m. EST). NHC can issue a special outlook if conditions change.
• Tuesday afternoon to early Wednesday: the cold front forecast to reach the Texas coast and move over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Local forecasts come from the National Weather Service.
• Toward midweek: possible broad low pressure along the stationary front off the southeastern US, spreading strong winds and rough seas eastward north of 28°N, per NHC’s Tropical Weather Discussion.
• November 12: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issues its next ENSO discussion.
• November 30: the official end of the Atlantic hurricane season.

About this report

This report summarizes official National Hurricane Center products and NOAA climate data for the Atlantic basin. Times are given in US Eastern Standard Time (EST), which NHC uses for its Atlantic outlooks since daylight time ended, and in UTC. Conditions can change between NHC issuances, and the newest NHC product always replaces the figures here. Orbis Weather covers the Pacific basins in separate reports.

Glossary

• Tropical cyclone: the general term for a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane.
• Subtropical storm: a storm with both tropical and non-tropical features, named from the same list as tropical storms.
• Major hurricane: a hurricane of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which rates hurricanes from 1 to 5 by sustained wind speed.
• Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE): a measure of a season’s total storm strength and duration.
• ENSO: the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the cycle of warming (El Niño) and cooling (La Niña) in the tropical Pacific.

Frequently asked questions

Is any tropical storm or hurricane threatening land today? No. There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico. No tropical storm or hurricane watches or warnings are in effect.

Could a storm form this week? NHC does not expect one. Its latest outlook says formation is not expected during the next seven days. That can change, so check NHC’s outlooks, which are updated every six hours.

Is the hurricane season over? Not officially. The Atlantic season runs until November 30, and NHC notes that storms sometimes form after that date. The busiest part of the season, mid-August to mid-October, has passed.

How has 2026 compared with a normal season? It has been well below average. The season has produced fewer named storms and far fewer hurricanes than usual by early November, and its total storm energy is 83% below normal, according to NHC.

Sources

• NHC home page: active storms — last updated 08:10 UTC, November 2, 2026
• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook — issued 1:00 a.m. EST, November 2, 2026
• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion — issued 06:15 UTC, November 2, 2026
• NHC 2026 Atlantic season list and summary — updated November 2, 2026 (summary as of 03:00 UTC)
• NHC tropical cyclone climatology, 1991-2020 — accessed November 2, 2026
• NHC product descriptions — accessed November 2, 2026
• NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion — issued October 8, 2026