Tropical Atlantic Daily Report: Monday, November 9, 2026

By Paul Harrison, Orbis Weather

At a glance

The Atlantic basin is quiet on Monday, with no tropical cyclones and none expected to form in the next seven days.

This report is current to 6:50 AM EST (11:50 UTC) on Monday, November 9, 2026. It uses the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 1:00 AM EST (06:00 UTC) and the Tropical Weather Discussion labeled 12:15 UTC, both on November 9.

• Active storms: none in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico.
• Threat to land: none from tropical cyclones today.
• Disturbances: NHC lists none. Its outlook states: “Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.”
• Marine hazard: a gale-force low pressure area over the open central Atlantic is moving away to the east-northeast.
• Season to date: 10 named storms, 1 hurricane and 1 major hurricane, all below the normal count for this date.

The National Hurricane Center and national weather services issue the official forecasts and warnings. Follow any evacuation order immediately.

Active storms

There are no tropical or subtropical cyclones and no potential tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin. The NHC home page, updated at 11:40 UTC on November 9, states: “There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.” With no storm threatening land, this report has no storm-threat section today.

Disturbances to watch

NHC is not monitoring any area for tropical development.

The main hazard in the Tropical Weather Discussion is a gale-force low over the open Atlantic, which NHC does not list as a disturbance. A 997 mb low near 30N 49W was moving northeast at 10 to 15 knots (12 to 17 mph [19 to 28 km/h]). NHC says gale-force southwest winds were occurring in its southeast quadrant, with seas to around 20 feet (6 m), and that the low will accelerate east of 35W by Tuesday night.

The discussion lists no tropical waves; the monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N 14W. It expects winds to strengthen over the central Caribbean Sea by Tuesday. A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest Gulf of Mexico on Thursday and move southeast of the Gulf on Friday.

Season so far

The 2026 season is running well below normal, with the most recent storm ending on October 22.

The 2026 counts and the to-date normals come from NHC’s 2026 season page, as of 09 UTC on November 8. The full-season averages come from NHC climatology. The only hurricane, Isaias (October 6 to 10), peaked at 105 knots (120 mph [195 km/h]), a Category 3 major hurricane. The last system was Subtropical Storm Josephine on October 21 and 22. NHC puts accumulated cyclone energy at 19.9, which is 83% below normal.

The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Center ENSO discussion, issued October 8, keeps an El Niño Advisory in effect. It says El Niño “continues to strengthen” and is likely to be strong to very strong through January to March 2027.

What to watch next

• Next tropical outlook: NHC issues its next Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook later today and would add any new area of interest there.
• Central Atlantic gale: NHC’s discussion expects the low to move east of 35W by Tuesday night; NHC marine forecasts carry the gale warnings.
• Caribbean winds: stronger winds over the central Caribbean Sea are forecast from Tuesday, per NHC.
• Gulf of Mexico front: a cold front is forecast to cross the Gulf on Thursday and Friday; local National Weather Service offices issue coastal forecasts.
• ENSO update: the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s next ENSO discussion is scheduled for Thursday, November 12.

About this report

This report summarizes official NHC products, NHC season statistics and climatology, and the NOAA Climate Prediction Center ENSO discussion. Each product’s issue time is given where it is used. Times are in Eastern Standard Time (EST), the zone NHC uses for Atlantic outlooks at this time of year, and in UTC. Coordinates such as 30N 49W are NHC’s latitude and longitude. Conditions can change between issues, and the newest NHC product always replaces the figures here.

Glossary

• Tropical cyclone: a rotating, organized storm system over tropical or subtropical waters, such as a tropical storm or hurricane.
• Subtropical storm: a cyclone with a mix of tropical and non-tropical features, named like a tropical storm.
• Tropical wave: a trough of low pressure moving east to west across the tropics; some later develop into storms.
• Major hurricane: a hurricane of Category 3 or higher on the five-category Saffir-Simpson wind scale.
• Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE): a measure of a season’s combined storm strength and duration.

Frequently asked questions

Is any tropical storm or hurricane threatening land today? No. There are no tropical cyclones anywhere in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico, so no tropical storm watches or warnings are in effect.

Could a storm form this week? NHC does not expect one. Its overnight outlook forecasts no tropical cyclone formation in the next seven days and highlights no areas to watch.

What is the gale over the central Atlantic? It is a low pressure area near 30N 49W, by NHC’s coordinates, moving east-northeast with gale-force winds and rough seas. NHC covers it in marine warnings and does not list it as an area for tropical development.

Where should readers get official updates? The National Hurricane Center at nhc.noaa.gov issues Atlantic outlooks and advisories. Local National Weather Service offices and national weather services in other countries issue local forecasts and warnings.

Sources

• National Hurricane Center home page — updated 11:40 UTC, November 9, 2026
• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook — issued 1:00 AM EST (06:00 UTC), November 9, 2026
• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion — labeled 12:15 UTC, November 9, 2026
• NHC 2026 Atlantic season summary — statistics as of 09 UTC, November 8, 2026
• NHC tropical cyclone climatology — 1991-2020 averages
• NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion — issued October 8, 2026