Tropical Atlantic Daily Report: Saturday, October 24, 2026

By Paul Harrison, Orbis Weather

At a glance

The Atlantic basin is quiet: no tropical cyclones are active, and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) does not expect any to form in the next 7 days.

This report is current to 6:47 AM EDT (10:47 UTC) on Saturday, October 24, 2026. It uses the NHC Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 2:00 AM EDT and the Tropical Weather Discussion issued at 0615 UTC (2:15 AM EDT).

• Active storms: none in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico.
• Threats to land: no tropical system threatens land. A non-tropical weather pattern is bringing periods of heavy rain to parts of the northern Caribbean and southern Bahamas through Monday.
• Formation outlook: NHC says “Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.”
• Season to date: nine named storms, one hurricane and one major hurricane, below the 1991-2020 average for this date.

The National Hurricane Center and national weather services issue the official forecasts and warnings. Follow any evacuation order immediately.

Active storms

There are no active tropical or subtropical cyclones or potential tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin. NHC’s main page stated at 09:37 UTC that “There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.” In the eastern Pacific, outside this report’s scope, NHC is tracking Hurricane Vance.

Disturbances to watch

NHC’s 2:00 AM EDT outlook lists no areas of possible development, so there are no 48-hour or 7-day formation chances to report. The outlook’s only statement is that formation is not expected for the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico during the next 7 days.

The 0615 UTC Tropical Weather Discussion highlights two non-tropical features that matter for marine and island weather:

NHC also expects “fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits,” from tonight into early next week. That is tied to low pressure “forecast to deepen near the central Bahamas.” The discussion lists no tropical waves; its nearest feature is a surface trough along 35W from 10N to 20N.

Season so far

The 2026 season is running below normal on every count. NHC’s season summary, current as of 15 UTC October 21, lists the following.

The to-date averages come from NHC climatology, which dates the average 12th named storm to October 11, the 6th hurricane to October 15 and the 2nd major hurricane to September 19. NHC’s summary shows the same gaps (minus 3, 5 and 1) and puts accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) at 18.0, 84% below normal.

The only hurricane so far, Isaias (October 6-10), peaked at 105 knots, about 120 mph [195 km/h], with a minimum pressure of 959 mb. The other eight storms stayed at tropical storm strength. NHC lists no direct deaths and no U.S. damage for the season.

ENSO: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center kept an El Niño Advisory in its October 8 discussion, saying “El Niño continues to strengthen, with a strong-to-very strong El Niño likely through January-March 2027.”

What to watch next

• NHC Tropical Weather Outlook, later today: NHC updates the outlook through the day; check it for any new area of interest.
• Northern Caribbean rain, through Monday: NHC expects periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos. Local warnings come from each country’s national weather service.
• Atlantic gales, Saturday night to Sunday night: mariners should follow NHC’s offshore and high seas forecasts.
• Eastern Gulf and Florida Straits, tonight into early next week: NHC expects fresh to strong northeast winds and rough seas; the U.S. National Weather Service issues coastal marine forecasts.
• Next ENSO update, November 12: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issues its next monthly ENSO discussion.

About this report

This report summarizes NHC and NOAA products available at 6:47 AM EDT (10:47 UTC) on October 24, 2026. Issue times are given as NHC states them, in EDT (UTC minus 4 hours) or UTC. Positions are given in degrees latitude (N) and longitude (W) as NHC writes them. Season counts rest on NHC’s summary dated October 21, and newer NHC products replace anything here.

Glossary

• Tropical cyclone: a rotating, organized low-pressure system over tropical or subtropical waters; it includes tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes.
• Tropical wave: a trough of low pressure moving east to west across the tropics that can seed new storms.
• Major hurricane: a hurricane of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with winds of at least 111 mph [178 km/h].
• Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE): a single number that combines how strong storms were and how long they lasted.
• ENSO: the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the cycle of warming (El Niño) and cooling (La Niña) in the tropical Pacific.

Frequently asked questions

Is there a hurricane or tropical storm in the Atlantic today? No. NHC reports no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of America. Its 2:00 AM EDT outlook does not expect any to form in the next 7 days.

Why is it raining so much in the northern Caribbean if there is no storm? NHC attributes the rain to a mid- to upper-level trough drawing on abundant tropical moisture, not a tropical cyclone. It expects periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos through Monday.

How does 2026 compare with an average season? It is behind on every measure. The season has nine named storms, one hurricane and one major hurricane, against averages to date of 12, 6 and 2.

Has a hurricane struck the United States this season? NHC’s season summary, dated October 21, lists no U.S. damage and no direct deaths for 2026. The season’s only hurricane, Isaias, was active October 6-10.