Tropical Atlantic Daily Report: Sunday, November 8, 2026

By Paul Harrison, Orbis Weather

Current to: 6:45 AM EST (1145 UTC), Sunday, November 8, 2026. NHC products used: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook issued 1:00 AM EST (0600 UTC) Sunday, November 8; Tropical Weather Discussion labeled 1215 UTC Sunday, November 8.

At a glance

The Atlantic basin is quiet: no tropical cyclones are active, and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) does not expect any to form in the next seven days.

• Active storms: none in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico.
• Threat to land: no tropical storm or hurricane watches or warnings are in effect, so this report has no land-threat section today.
• Disturbances: NHC lists no areas to watch. A non-tropical gale low over the central subtropical Atlantic is the main feature at sea.
• Season to date: 10 named storms, 1 hurricane and 1 major hurricane, below the 1991-2020 average for this date. The season ends November 30.

The National Hurricane Center and national weather services issue the official forecasts and warnings. Follow any evacuation order immediately.

Active storms

There are no active tropical or subtropical cyclones or potential tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin as of the 1:00 AM EST outlook, so no NHC advisories are in effect.

Disturbances to watch

NHC’s outlook lists no areas of possible development. Its full text says tropical cyclone formation “is not expected over the next 7 days” across the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

The Tropical Weather Discussion carries a gale warning for a 1000 mb low near 28N 58W, over the central subtropical Atlantic. NHC does not classify it as tropical. It has 30 to 40 kt winds (35 to 46 mph [56 to 74 km/h]) within 240 nautical miles (276 miles [444 km]) of the center and seas of 8 to 16 feet (2.4 to 4.9 m), and is expected to move generally east-northeastward over the next couple of days.

Elsewhere, the discussion describes a stationary front from south Florida to 23N 90W, a point in the southern Gulf of Mexico by its coordinates, that is forecast to weaken today and dissipate by late Monday. Scattered heavy showers and thunderstorms are crossing the northeast Caribbean, and winds over the central Caribbean are forecast to strengthen by Tuesday. The discussion lists no tropical waves and does not mention Saharan dust or wind shear.

Season so far

The 2026 Atlantic season is running well below normal, with about three fewer named storms and five fewer hurricanes than average for early November.

The 2026 counts come from NHC’s season summary as of 09 UTC November 8. The averages to date are read from NHC’s 1991-2020 benchmark dates: the 13th named storm forms on average by October 25, the 6th hurricane by October 15 and the 3rd major hurricane by October 28. These match the gaps NHC’s summary shows against normal.

The only hurricane so far, Isaias, peaked at 105 kt (about 120 mph [195 km/h]) between October 6 and 10. The latest named storm, Subtropical Storm Josephine, lasted October 21 to 22. NHC’s summary puts accumulated cyclone energy at 19.9 units, 83 percent below normal, with one direct death and $1.1 billion in US damage for the season.

ENSO: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center kept an El Niño Advisory in its October 8 discussion, saying “El Niño continues to strengthen”.

What to watch next

• Next tropical outlook: NHC’s next Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook replaces the 1:00 AM EST issue later today.
• Subtropical Atlantic gale low: NHC’s marine discussions track its east-northeastward drift over the next couple of days.
• Gulf of Mexico front: forecast by NHC to dissipate by late Monday, November 9.
• Central Caribbean winds: NHC expects them to strengthen by Tuesday, November 10, and persist through the week.
• ENSO update: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center schedules its next ENSO discussion for Thursday, November 12.

About this report

This report summarizes official products from the National Hurricane Center and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It is current to 6:45 AM EST (1145 UTC) on November 8. Times are given in Eastern Standard Time and UTC, as NHC uses them for Atlantic products. Newer NHC products replace anything here. The report does not issue forecasts or warnings.

Glossary

• Tropical cyclone: a rotating, organized storm over tropical or subtropical waters, including tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes.
• Subtropical storm: a storm with features of both tropical and non-tropical systems, such as Josephine in October.
• Major hurricane: a hurricane of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with winds of at least 111 mph (179 km/h).
• Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE): a measure of a season’s combined storm strength and duration.
• El Niño: a periodic warming of sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.

Frequently asked questions

Is any hurricane or tropical storm threatening land today? No. There are no active Atlantic tropical cyclones and no tropical watches or warnings in effect.

Could a storm form this week? NHC’s 1:00 AM EST outlook says formation is not expected over the next seven days anywhere in the Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico. Outlooks are updated through the day, so check the latest issue.

What is the gale low in the Atlantic? It is a non-tropical 1000 mb low near 28N 58W with gale-force winds and rough seas. It is a marine hazard far from land and is forecast to move east-northeastward.

When does the hurricane season end? The Atlantic season officially runs from June 1 to November 30, according to NHC. The 2026 season therefore has about three weeks left.

Sources

• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook, issued 1:00 AM EST Sun Nov 8, 2026
• NHC Tropical Weather Discussion, labeled 1215 UTC Sun Nov 8, 2026
• National Hurricane Center home page, last updated 12:30 UTC Sat Nov 7, 2026
• NHC 2026 North Atlantic season summary, as of 09 UTC Nov 8, 2026
• NHC tropical cyclone climatology, 1991-2020 averages, accessed Nov 8, 2026
• NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion, issued Oct 8, 2026
• Wikipedia: 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, accessed Nov 8, 2026 (not used for figures; less current than NHC)