🌍 Africa Weather & Natural Hazards Today — Wednesday, November 11, 2026

By Paul Harrison | Orbis Weather

Published: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 (Africa regional edition)

Coverage: North Africa • West Africa • Central Africa • East Africa • Southern Africa • Madagascar • Southwest Indian Ocean

Weather intelligence, natural hazard monitoring, regional forecasts and climate analysis.

🌍 Africa Weather Overview: Flooding Risks, Severe Thunderstorms, Extreme Heat and El Niño

Africa enters Wednesday, November 11, with contrasting weather hazards across the continent. Heavy rainfall and thunderstorms remain important concerns in Morocco, tropical rainfall continues to create flooding vulnerability across Central Africa, and parts of Southern Africa are experiencing the transition toward summer conditions.

In East Africa, the October–December rainy season is particularly significant as the developing El Niño continues to influence regional climate patterns.

The World Meteorological Organization and IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre have identified an increased likelihood of above-normal seasonal rainfall across parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, particularly southern Ethiopia, Somalia and northeastern Kenya.

Meanwhile, the 2026–2027 El Niño is raising broader concerns about agriculture, food security, rainfall variability and the possibility of severe weather disruptions across vulnerable communities.

🚨 Today’s main weather concerns

• 🌧️ Morocco: Heavy rainfall, thunderstorms and strong winds remain a concern following warnings issued earlier this week.

• ⛈️ Central Africa: Tropical downpours and localized flooding risks across parts of the Congo Basin.

• 🌊 East Africa: Seasonal rainfall, river flooding and landslide potential in vulnerable communities.

• 🔥 Southern Africa: Heat exposure and developing summer thunderstorm conditions.

• 🌾 West Africa: Seasonal drying, high temperatures and rainfall deficits in some areas.

• 🌀 Madagascar and nearby islands: Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclone season monitoring.

• 🌋 East African Rift: Ongoing earthquake and volcanic hazard monitoring.

Verification note: This November 11 edition combines previously reported weather warnings, published seasonal outlooks and regional hazard assessments. It does not present every monitoring concern as a newly issued official warning. Exact local conditions should be checked against the latest national meteorological bulletins.

🚨 1. Africa Natural Hazards Summary — November 11

These are Orbis Weather editorial monitoring priorities, not official warning levels or a verified list of active alerts for November 11.

🏜️ 2. North Africa — Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms and Flash Flooding

🇲🇦 Morocco — Severe weather remains a concern

Morocco remains one of the most important North African weather areas to monitor.

An orange-level weather alert issued on November 9 identified heavy thunderstorms, substantial rainfall and strong winds, with some affected areas potentially receiving up to 80 mm (3.1 inches) of rain during a warning period extending into Thursday, November 12.

The main potential hazards include flash flooding in normally dry riverbeds, dangerous driving conditions, localized infrastructure damage and reduced visibility during intense rainfall or blowing dust.

Mountainous terrain can intensify runoff, while urban drainage systems may struggle during concentrated downpours.

Wednesday outlook: Residents should continue monitoring Morocco’s General Directorate of Meteorology for the latest affected provinces, warning periods and any changes to alert levels. The original warning period does not establish that severe weather is occurring everywhere throughout Wednesday.

🇩🇿 Algeria and 🇹🇳 Tunisia

Northern Algeria and Tunisia are moving further into their Mediterranean wet season.

Weather systems crossing the western Mediterranean can bring periods of rainfall, gusty winds and thunderstorms, particularly near coastal and mountainous districts.

Potential hazards include localized road flooding, slippery mountain routes and rough coastal waters.

No new nationwide warning for either country has been independently verified for this edition.

🇱🇾 Libya and 🇪🇬 Egypt

Libya and Egypt generally experience cooler and predominantly dry November conditions away from the Mediterranean coast.

However, occasional Mediterranean disturbances can produce coastal rainfall, while isolated thunderstorms over desert catchments can generate dangerous flash flooding.

Dust and blowing sand may also reduce visibility during stronger wind events.

North Africa outlook: Morocco’s previously documented severe-weather warning remains the leading regional concern, while Mediterranean rainfall and localized flood potential warrant monitoring elsewhere.

⛈️ 3. Central Africa — Tropical Rainfall and Flooding Vulnerability

Central Africa remains among the continent’s most important regions for rainfall-related hazards.

Seasonal tropical moisture and recurring thunderstorms can produce substantial rainfall across the Congo Basin and surrounding equatorial regions.

🇨🇩 Democratic Republic of the Congo

Eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo is especially vulnerable to flooding and landslides because of its steep terrain, heavily populated settlements and exposed road networks.

Heavy rainfall can rapidly increase runoff in mountain valleys and destabilize saturated slopes.

Potential consequences include damaged roads and bridges, flooded homes, contaminated drinking water and communities becoming temporarily isolated.

The eastern provinces deserve particular attention where prolonged rainfall has already weakened slopes.

🇨🇲 Cameroon and 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea

Southern Cameroon and Equatorial Guinea remain susceptible to intense tropical rainfall.

Urban districts with limited drainage capacity can experience rapid surface-water flooding during thunderstorms.

Repeated rainfall can also affect agriculture, road transportation and water quality.

🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo

The Republic of the Congo remains exposed to localized flooding during prolonged or intense rainfall.

Communities near rivers and low-lying drainage channels should monitor changes in water levels, especially following repeated storms.

🇬🇦 Gabon and 🇨🇫 Central African Republic

Equatorial rainfall remains a seasonal concern across Gabon and portions of the Central African Republic.

Localized flooding, lightning and difficult road conditions are possible during heavy downpours.

Central Africa outlook: Flood preparedness remains important, particularly in eastern DR Congo and communities near vulnerable river systems. No continent-wide rainfall measurement or new disaster total has been verified for November 11.

🌊 4. East Africa — El Niño, Heavy Rain and River Flooding

East Africa continues to face one of the continent’s most complicated weather situations.

The October–December rainfall season is crucial for agriculture, livestock, water supplies and flood preparedness.

ICPAC’s seasonal forecast indicates a particularly high probability of wetter-than-normal conditions in southern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia and northeastern Kenya. It also identifies the potential for substantial seasonal rainfall across parts of the Lake Victoria Basin, Burundi, Rwanda and western Tanzania.

These are seasonal probabilities rather than confirmed rainfall totals or individual daily forecasts.

🇰🇪 Kenya — Short-rains season

Kenya remains within its October–December short-rains period.

Areas requiring close attention during intense thunderstorms include Nairobi and surrounding urban districts, western highlands, northeastern counties and communities near Lake Victoria.

Potential hazards include flash flooding, lightning, landslides, overflowing drainage channels and disruption to road transport.

Rainfall distribution can vary substantially, so some communities may experience heavy downpours while others remain comparatively dry.

🇸🇴 Somalia — Juba and Shabelle river basins

Somalia’s Juba and Shabelle river systems remain critical areas for flood monitoring.

Heavy rainfall upstream, including in Ethiopia, can raise river levels downstream even when local rainfall is limited.

Flooding can damage farmland, isolate settlements and threaten drinking-water supplies.

Communities along the river corridors should follow official hydrological updates and local flood advisories.

🇪🇹 Ethiopia — Highland rainfall and landslides

Ethiopia’s mountainous geography creates sharply different local weather conditions.

Southern and southwestern districts can experience seasonal rainfall, while steep highland terrain increases the consequences of intense downpours.

Landslides, road washouts and rapid runoff remain important hazards in vulnerable locations.

🇺🇬 Uganda, 🇷🇼 Rwanda and 🇧🇮 Burundi

The Great Lakes region remains susceptible to thunderstorms, lightning and localized flooding.

Steep hillsides in Rwanda and Burundi are particularly vulnerable to slope failures following persistent rainfall.

Communities operating boats on Lake Victoria should monitor marine forecasts because thunderstorms can generate sudden strong winds and dangerous waves.

🇸🇸 South Sudan

South Sudan continues to face complex water-related vulnerabilities, including flooding in low-lying areas and the effects of uneven seasonal rainfall.

Flooded roads and prolonged inundation can interfere with food distribution, healthcare access and agricultural activity.

🇹🇿 Tanzania

Northern and western Tanzania are entering an important period for seasonal rainfall.

Thunderstorms around the Lake Victoria Basin and northern highlands may produce localized flooding, lightning and difficult travel conditions.

East Africa outlook: The region’s principal concern is the interaction between seasonal rainfall, flood vulnerability and the developing El Niño. The WMO has highlighted the importance of early preparation for potentially wetter conditions across parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.

🔥 5. Southern Africa — Heat, Thunderstorms and Summer Rainfall

Southern Africa is moving toward its summer rainfall season, bringing increasing attention to high temperatures, convective storms and agricultural conditions.

🇿🇦 South Africa — Heat and thunderstorm monitoring

Western parts of South Africa experienced forecasts for very hot to extremely hot conditions earlier this week, particularly across portions of the Northern Cape and interior Western Cape.

Forecast temperatures for affected districts on November 10 reached approximately 36–40°C (97–104°F).

Those figures refer to the earlier forecast and should not be treated as confirmed November 11 temperatures.

High temperatures increase the risk of dehydration, heat exhaustion and heat stress, particularly for outdoor workers and vulnerable residents.

Across eastern and northeastern South Africa, the developing summer season brings increasing potential for thunderstorms, lightning, localized heavy rainfall and hail.

🇲🇿 Mozambique

Mozambique is entering a period when tropical moisture and summer rainfall become increasingly important.

Thunderstorms can produce localized flooding, particularly in low-lying settlements and areas with inadequate drainage.

Coastal communities should also monitor marine forecasts and the developing Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclone season.

🇿🇼 Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe’s agricultural outlook depends heavily on the timing and distribution of seasonal rainfall.

Early-season thunderstorms can provide beneficial moisture but may also produce damaging winds, hail and localized flooding.

🇿🇲 Zambia and 🇲🇼 Malawi

The developing rainy season is important for planting, reservoir levels and water supplies.

Heavy thunderstorms can create flash-flood risks, particularly near streams, steep slopes and urban drainage systems.

🇧🇼 Botswana and 🇳🇦 Namibia

High temperatures and dry vegetation remain important concerns across portions of Botswana and Namibia.

As summer develops, localized thunderstorms may become more frequent, but rainfall distribution can remain highly uneven.

🇸🇿 Eswatini and 🇱🇸 Lesotho

Eswatini’s mountainous terrain can amplify runoff during intense rainfall, while Lesotho’s high elevations create cooler conditions and exposure to rapidly changing mountain weather.

Southern Africa outlook: Heat, rainfall onset and the influence of El Niño on seasonal precipitation remain the main monitoring priorities.

☀️ 6. West Africa — Sahel Heat, Drying Conditions and Rainfall Deficits

West Africa is experiencing its seasonal transition toward drier conditions across much of the northern region.

🇳🇬 Nigeria

Northern Nigeria is moving further into its dry season, with heat and dust becoming increasingly relevant.

Southern Nigeria can still experience showers and thunderstorms, although rainfall generally becomes less widespread as the season progresses.

Potential hazards include reduced visibility during dusty conditions, heat exposure and localized flooding following intense southern thunderstorms.

🇬🇭 Ghana, 🇨🇮 Côte d’Ivoire and 🇱🇷 Liberia

Parts of the Gulf of Guinea region have experienced concerns about accumulated rainfall shortages.

Reduced rainfall can affect soil moisture, vegetation, agriculture and water availability.

However, individual heavy showers remain possible even where longer-term rainfall totals are below average.

🇸🇳 Senegal, 🇬🇲 The Gambia and 🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau

The transition toward the dry season is becoming more established.

Heat, dry vegetation and changes in wind patterns become increasingly important as seasonal rainfall retreats.

🇲🇱 Mali, 🇳🇪 Niger, 🇹🇩 Chad and 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso

The Sahel remains vulnerable to high daytime temperatures, seasonal water shortages and dusty conditions.

Agricultural communities are particularly sensitive to rainfall performance during the preceding wet season.

Dry vegetation and stronger winds can increase fire-weather concerns, although no specific major wildfire is independently confirmed in this edition.

West Africa outlook: Heat exposure, seasonal drying and the longer-term effects of uneven rainfall remain the principal concerns.

🌀 7. Madagascar and Southwest Indian Ocean — Tropical Cyclone Season

🇲🇬 Madagascar

Madagascar is entering the early part of the Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclone season.

Although the basin’s most active period typically occurs later in the Southern Hemisphere summer, tropical disturbances can develop during November.

Potential cyclone hazards include destructive winds, torrential rainfall, river flooding, landslides and dangerous coastal conditions.

Eastern and northeastern Madagascar are particularly exposed to tropical systems approaching from the Indian Ocean.

🇲🇺 Mauritius and 🇷🇪 Réunion

Mauritius and Réunion should continue monitoring tropical weather bulletins and marine forecasts.

Large swells and heavy rainfall can affect island communities even when a tropical system remains offshore.

🇸🇨 Seychelles

The Seychelles remains sensitive to heavy tropical showers, localized flooding and changing marine conditions.

🌀 Current cyclone status

A verified operational list of active tropical cyclones for November 11 was not available from the sources reviewed for this article.

Consequently, Orbis Weather is not claiming that the basin is storm-free or that a named cyclone is active.

For operational information, consult Météo-France La Réunion and Mauritius Meteorological Services.

🌋 8. Africa Earthquakes and Volcanoes — Geological Hazard Monitoring

Africa’s natural hazards extend beyond weather.

The East African Rift System is one of the continent’s most geologically active regions, where tectonic movement produces earthquakes and volcanic activity.

🇨🇩 Democratic Republic of the Congo — Virunga volcanoes

The Virunga region contains Nyiragongo and Nyamuragira, two of Africa’s most significant active volcanic systems.

Potential hazards include lava flows, volcanic gases, earthquakes and disruption to nearby communities.

🇪🇹 Ethiopia — Afar Rift

Ethiopia’s Afar region is an important zone of tectonic activity.

Earthquake swarms, ground deformation and volcanic unrest require scientific monitoring and careful interpretation.

🇰🇪 Kenya and 🇹🇿 Tanzania

Both countries contain sections of the East African Rift where earthquakes can occur.

Steep terrain may also increase the risk of landslides when seismic shaking coincides with saturated ground.

📡 Earthquake and volcanic activity status

No complete, verified Africa-wide earthquake inventory or newly confirmed volcanic eruption report for November 11 was obtained for this edition.

Current records should be checked through the USGS Latest Earthquakes and the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre.

🌡️ 9. Africa Temperature and Climate Outlook

Africa’s temperature patterns vary enormously because of its size, elevation, deserts, tropical forests and surrounding oceans.

These are broad climatological patterns, not verified November 11 observations or exact city forecasts.

🌊 10. El Niño 2026–2027 — What It Means for Africa

One of Africa’s most important longer-term weather stories is the ongoing 2026–2027 El Niño.

El Niño develops when ocean temperatures across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific become unusually warm, influencing atmospheric circulation and rainfall patterns around the world.

The October 2026 FEWS NET special report described a very strong El Niño event and identified potential consequences for food security, agriculture and water availability across several regions.

🌧️ East Africa

Parts of the Greater Horn of Africa have an increased probability of above-normal rainfall during the October–December season.

This can improve water availability in some locations while increasing flooding and landslide exposure elsewhere.

🌾 Southern Africa

Strong El Niño events have historically been associated with increased drought risk across parts of Southern Africa during certain seasons.

However, this relationship does not guarantee drought in every country or district.

☀️ West Africa

Rainfall responses vary geographically, and seasonal conditions can influence agriculture, food prices and water security.

🌍 Why this matters

Climate-related agricultural losses can create food-security problems months after the original weather event.

FEWS NET emphasizes that the most severe food-security consequences may emerge during subsequent lean seasons, rather than during the period when El Niño is strongest.

For communities already affected by poverty, displacement or damaged infrastructure, even moderate weather disruptions can have serious consequences.

📅 11. Africa Weather and Natural Hazards Outlook — November 11–13, 2026

This is a forward-looking hazard-monitoring summary, not a verified three-day forecast for every country. Local warnings and forecast details may change.

🛟 12. Weather Safety and Preparedness

🌧️ During heavy rainfall and flooding

Avoid driving through flooded roads or crossing swollen rivers. Water depth and road damage may be impossible to judge.

Residents in flood-prone communities should monitor local emergency announcements and prepare for possible transport disruption.

⛈️ During thunderstorms

Move indoors when thunder is heard. Avoid exposed ridges, isolated trees, open water and unprotected outdoor locations.

🔥 During extreme heat

Drink water regularly, limit strenuous outdoor activity during the hottest hours and check on vulnerable people.

🌋 During volcanic or earthquake emergencies

Follow instructions from geological authorities and emergency services. Avoid restricted volcanic zones and damaged buildings.

🌀 During tropical cyclone threats

Follow official cyclone bulletins, review evacuation routes and prepare emergency supplies before hazardous weather arrives.

📡 13. Official Weather and Natural Hazard Sources

Orbis Weather uses official meteorological, climate and scientific organizations as primary references wherever available.

Editorial methodology and verification

This report distinguishes between confirmed official warnings, published seasonal forecasts, general hazard exposure and developing weather concerns.

Seasonal climate outlooks describe probabilities over weeks or months. They should not be interpreted as guarantees of daily weather or proof that a particular disaster is underway.

Orbis Weather does not manufacture temperature readings, rainfall totals, earthquake magnitudes, cyclone positions, casualty figures or official warning levels when reliable verification is unavailable.

Forecasts and warnings can change rapidly. Readers should use their national meteorological agency and local emergency-management authorities for immediate safety decisions.

📰 14. Africa Weather — Final Summary for November 11

Africa’s most important weather concerns on Wednesday involve a combination of heavy rainfall, flooding vulnerability, heat and the longer-term influence of El Niño.

Morocco remains under scrutiny following severe-weather warnings issued earlier this week.

Central Africa continues to face the seasonal dangers associated with tropical rainfall, while East Africa’s short-rains season makes river levels, thunderstorms and landslide exposure particularly important.

Southern Africa is moving deeper into its summer weather pattern, with heat and seasonal rainfall increasingly affecting agriculture and public safety.

Across the continent, the developing El Niño remains an important climate story, with potentially significant implications for food security, water supplies and weather extremes over the coming months.

Orbis Weather will continue following Africa’s changing weather patterns, natural hazards and climate developments as new official information becomes available.