Singapore Monsoon & Flood Tracker – Live Rain & Flood Risk
By Paul Harrison | Founder & Publisher, Orbis Weather
Singapore Monsoon & Flood This Week: Thursday, October 15, 2026
· @Paul
By Paul Harrison, Orbis Weather
At a glance
Singapore heads into a showery weekend still under Southwest Monsoon winds, with no flood warning in force and haze readings in the Unhealthy to Very Unhealthy range. This report is current to 7:30 am Thursday, October 15, Singapore time (7:30 pm Wednesday, October 14, US Eastern time).
- Monsoon: NEA said on October 1 that Southwest Monsoon conditions would continue through mid-October; October and November are normally the inter-monsoon months.
- Forecast: cloudy Thursday, then afternoon thundery showers Friday to Sunday, with temperatures of 25–34°C (77–93°F) (MSS, 5:30 pm October 14).
- Warnings and floods: no Heavy Rain Warning at 6:00 am Thursday; the last dated PUB flash-flood risk alerts in the news were on October 1, with no flooding reported.
- Rainfall: NEA expected below-average rain for October 1–15, after an above-average late September; October averages 168.3 mm (6.63 in).
- Haze: showers may bring some relief, but NEA expects smoke to keep drifting in; western Singapore’s 24-hour PSI hit 203 on Wednesday night.
The Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) and the National Environment Agency (NEA) issue the official forecasts and Heavy Rain Warnings, and PUB issues flood alerts.
Monsoon status
Singapore is still under Southwest Monsoon winds, although the calendar has reached the season when the inter-monsoon usually begins. In its outlook for October 1–15, the National Environment Agency (NEA) said Southwest Monsoon conditions were prevailing over Singapore and the region and would continue, with winds mainly from the southeast or southwest (NEA). The Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) four-day outlook issued at 5:30 pm on October 14 still shows southeasterly to south-southeasterly winds of 5–15 km/h (3–9 mph) through Sunday.
The MSS climate guide describes Singapore’s year in four seasons (MSS):
Season | Usual months | Typical weather |
|---|---|---|
Northeast Monsoon | December to early March | Northerly to northeasterly winds; wet early part with monsoon surges bringing widespread rain; windier and drier from late January |
Inter-monsoon | Late March to May | Light, variable winds; hot afternoons |
Southwest Monsoon | June to September | Southeasterly to southerly winds; occasional Sumatra squalls; short afternoon showers |
Inter-monsoon | October to November | Light, variable winds; afternoon and early evening thunderstorms, sometimes severe |
MSS says the October–November inter-monsoon is generally wetter than the one in spring. The current MSS fortnightly outlook runs to October 15, and the next one is the next official word on whether the monsoon is changing. MSS’s monsoon update page was last revised on June 3, when it said the Southwest Monsoon would last until late September or early October.
The week’s forecast
A cloudy Thursday gives way to afternoon thundery showers from Friday to Sunday, according to the MSS four-day outlook issued at 5:30 pm on Wednesday, October 14 (MSS).
Day | Forecast | Low / high | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|
Thursday, October 15 | Cloudy | 25°C (77°F) / 34°C (93°F) | Southeast, 5–15 km/h (3–9 mph) |
Friday, October 16 | Afternoon thundery showers | 25°C (77°F) / 34°C (93°F) | South-southeast, 5–15 km/h (3–9 mph) |
Saturday, October 17 | Afternoon thundery showers | 25°C (77°F) / 34°C (93°F) | South-southeast, 5–15 km/h (3–9 mph) |
Sunday, October 18 | Afternoon thundery showers | 25°C (77°F) / 34°C (93°F) | South-southeast, 10–15 km/h (6–9 mph) |
The official day-by-day forecast covers only these four days; MSS has not yet issued a forecast for Monday to Wednesday, October 19–21. The 24-hour forecast for Thursday adds relative humidity of 60% to 95% (MSS). By 6:00 am Thursday, the highest rainfall recorded was 9.8 mm (0.39 in) at Tuas South Avenue 3, and no Heavy Rain Warning was in force.
Fortnightly outlook. The current MSS outlook covers October 1–15 and expected a drier fortnight than the one before, with below-average rainfall over most of the island (MSS). It forecast thundery showers over parts of the island in the late morning and afternoon on some days, and daily highs of 34–35°C (93–95°F) on most days. That outlook period ends on Thursday, October 15, so a new fortnightly outlook is the next update to watch.
Heavy rain and flash floods
No Heavy Rain Warning was in force at 6:00 am Thursday, and no flash flooding in Singapore was reported in dated news coverage over the past seven days. The four-day outlook points to afternoon thundery showers from Friday.
The most recent dated flash-flood risk alerts in the news came on October 1, Malay Mail reported. That afternoon, the national water agency PUB advised motorists and pedestrians to steer clear of the junction of Pesawat Drive and Jurong Port Road from 2:13 pm, and Jalan Boon Lay between International Road and Enterprise Road from 2:14 pm. NEA had forecast heavy rain over northern, western and central districts between 2:20 pm and 3:10 pm. No flooding was reported.
The heaviest recent rain fell in late September. On September 22, heavy afternoon thundery showers hit many areas, and 130.6 mm (5.14 in) fell near Rifle Range Road, the highest daily total of September 16–30, NEA said. MSS linked that day’s showers to regional wind convergence, where winds meet and force air upward.
PUB’s flash-flood risk alerts name a road or junction and advise people to avoid it for the next hour, as its messages on the PUB Flood Alerts Telegram channel show.
Rainfall against normal
Rainfall normally rises from October into November. The 1991–2020 averages at Changi Climate Station show the step up (MSS):
Measure (1991–2020, Changi) | October | November |
|---|---|---|
Mean rainfall | 168.3 mm (6.63 in) | 252.3 mm (9.93 in) |
Mean rain days | 15 | 19 |
Mean thunderstorm days | 17 | 19 |
Mean lightning days | 18 | 22 |
Mean daily maximum | 31.8°C (89.2°F) | 31.2°C (88.2°F) |
Mean daily minimum | 25.0°C (77.0°F) | 24.6°C (76.3°F) |
The first half of October was forecast to be drier than normal. NEA expected total rainfall for October 1–15 to be below average over most of the island. The fortnight before was wetter than usual: from September 16 to 30, rainfall was above average almost everywhere, from 212% above average at Kranji to 9% below average at Jurong West, NEA said.
For context, NEA lists October’s extremes as 497.1 mm (19.57 in) in 1947, the wettest on record, and 10.8 mm (0.43 in) in 2002, the driest.
Rain and the haze
Showers this week may bring some relief, but NEA expects smoke to keep drifting toward Singapore while dry conditions persist around the fires. On Tuesday, October 13, showers fell over several parts of Singapore, yet the 24-hour Pollutant Standards Index (PSI) still ranged from 111 to 160, in the Unhealthy range, at 7:00 pm (NEA). NEA said dry conditions would persist over parts of southern Sumatra and Kalimantan, so smoke haze “may still drift towards Singapore” on southeasterly winds.
On Wednesday morning, AsiaOne reported that afternoon thundery showers “could bring some reprieve”, while the PSI was forecast to stay Unhealthy (AsiaOne). The western region later reached a PSI of 203, in the Very Unhealthy range, at 9:00 pm Wednesday (AsiaOne). The MSS outlook keeps winds from the south-southeast through Sunday. Orbis Weather’s Tuesday report covers haze and air quality in full.
Staying safe and getting alerts
PUB’s main advice is to stay out of floodwater, whether on foot or in a car (PUB):
- Pedestrians: do not walk into flooded areas; turn back and move to higher ground until the flood subsides. Watch for open drains. As little as 15 cm (6 in) of moving water can knock a person off their feet.
- Motorists: do not drive into flooded areas. About 30 cm (12 in) of water can stall a car, and about 60 cm (24 in) can carry away most vehicles, including SUVs. If floodwater stalls the car, leave it and move to higher ground if it is safe to do so.
- Residents and businesses: do not touch electrical equipment when wet or standing in water. In low-rise buildings, move essential items to an upper floor. Before evacuating, turn off utilities at the main switches or valves and unplug appliances.
Alert tool | What it gives | Run by |
|---|---|---|
Where heavy rain is expected, with tide data when high tide coincides; a follow-up when the rain stops | MSS (NEA), via PUB’s subscription page | |
Alerts as a chosen canal or drain passes 50%, 75%, 90% and 100% of its depth, from 210 sensors | PUB | |
Heavy rain forecasts, flash-flood risk alerts and safety tips | PUB | |
24-hour and four-day forecasts, Heavy Rain Warnings, observations | MSS |
What to watch
When | What to watch | Source |
|---|---|---|
Thursday, October 15 | Cloudy, 25–34°C (77–93°F); end of the current fortnightly outlook period | MSS four-day outlook; MSS fortnightly outlook |
Friday, October 16 to Sunday, October 18 | Afternoon thundery showers each day; watch for Heavy Rain Warnings and PUB flash-flood risk alerts | MSS four-day outlook; PUB |
From mid-October | New fortnightly outlook for the second half of October, including any change in the monsoon | MSS / NEA |
Daily | Haze updates; NEA forecast the 24-hour PSI to stay Unhealthy | NEA |
November | Average rainfall rises to 252.3 mm (9.93 in) over 19 rain days | MSS climate averages |
What could change the picture: the timing of the shift from Southwest Monsoon winds to the light, variable winds of the inter-monsoon, which MSS associates with afternoon and early evening thunderstorms that are sometimes severe.
About this report
This report summarises official forecasts, advisories and news reports. It is not an official warning. The Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) and the National Environment Agency (NEA) issue Singapore’s forecasts, Heavy Rain Warnings and haze advisories, and the national water agency PUB issues flood alerts.
Issue times used. MSS four-day outlook, 5:30 pm Wednesday, October 14; MSS 24-hour forecast and observations, as shown at 6:00 am Thursday, October 15; MSS and NEA fortnightly outlook for October 1–15, issued October 1; NEA haze update, 7:00 pm Tuesday, October 13. All times are Singapore time (SGT, UTC+8), 12 hours ahead of US Eastern Daylight Time. This report is current to 7:30 am Thursday, October 15, SGT (7:30 pm Wednesday, October 14, US Eastern time).
Term | Meaning |
|---|---|
Southwest Monsoon | June to September season of southeasterly to southerly winds |
Inter-monsoon | Transition periods (late March to May; October to November) with light, variable winds |
Northeast Monsoon | December to early March season of northerly to northeasterly winds |
Monsoon surge | A strengthening of Northeast Monsoon winds that brings widespread rain |
Sumatra squall | A line of thunderstorms from Sumatra that can bring gusty winds and heavy rain, usually before dawn or in the morning |
Wind convergence | Winds meeting and forcing air upward, which builds rain clouds |
Heavy Rain Warning | An MSS alert that heavy rain is expected over parts of Singapore |
Flash-flood risk alert | A PUB message naming a road or junction to avoid for the next hour |
PSI | Pollutant Standards Index; 101–200 is Unhealthy and 201–300 Very Unhealthy |
Units. Temperatures in °C with °F in brackets, rainfall in mm with inches, winds in km/h with mph, depths in cm with inches; conversions are rounded.
Limits. The official day-by-day forecast covers four days only. Long-term averages are 1991–2020 figures for Changi Climate Station and may differ from other parts of the island. Forecasts change quickly, so readers should check MSS, NEA and PUB before outdoor plans.
Frequently asked questions
Has Singapore’s monsoon changed yet? Not according to the latest official statement. NEA’s outlook for October 1–15 said Southwest Monsoon conditions were prevailing and would continue, and the MSS outlook still shows southeasterly winds through Sunday. MSS’s climate guide places the inter-monsoon in October and November.
Will it rain this week? MSS forecasts a cloudy Thursday, then afternoon thundery showers on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. The official forecast does not yet cover Monday to Wednesday.
Is there a flood warning now? No Heavy Rain Warning was in force at 6:00 am Thursday. PUB issues flash-flood risk alerts for specific roads when they are at risk, so readers should watch its Telegram channel and SMS alerts on shower days.
How much rain does October usually bring? About 168.3 mm (6.63 in) over 15 rain days at Changi, based on 1991–2020 averages. November averages 252.3 mm (9.93 in) over 19 rain days.
Will the rain clear the haze? Showers may bring some relief, but NEA said smoke may still drift toward Singapore because dry conditions persist over parts of southern Sumatra and Kalimantan. The western region’s 24-hour PSI reached 203 on Wednesday night.
What should drivers do if a road floods? PUB says not to drive into flooded areas: about 30 cm (12 in) of water can stall a car, and about 60 cm (24 in) can carry most vehicles away. If a car stalls, leave it and move to higher ground if it is safe.
How can residents get flood alerts? PUB’s subscription page offers Heavy Rain Warning SMS alerts and High Water Level Alert SMS for 210 canal and drain sensors. PUB also posts flash-flood risk alerts on its Flood Alerts Telegram channel.
🌧️ Next 6 Hours
🧭 Singapore Monsoon Calendar
Wet phase typically Dec–Jan.
Frequent afternoon thunderstorms.
Sumatra squalls can occur.
Light winds and thunderstorms.
🌊 Flood Safety
Official Live Flood Information
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🌧️ Singapore Monsoon & Flood Tracker – Live Rain & Flood Risk
Monitor heavy rain, monsoon conditions and potential flash-flood risk across Singapore with the Orbis Weather Singapore Monsoon & Flood Tracker.
Singapore’s tropical climate produces abundant rainfall throughout the year, but rainfall patterns change with the Northeast Monsoon, Southwest Monsoon and the two inter-monsoon periods.
Heavy tropical downpours can develop rapidly. Although Singapore has an extensive drainage and flood-management system, exceptionally intense rainfall can temporarily exceed drainage capacity and cause localized flash flooding. Singapore’s national water agency, PUB, says these flash floods are generally small and localized and typically subside within an hour.
The Orbis Weather tracker provides general situational awareness using rainfall, short-range precipitation forecasts, wind and Singapore’s seasonal monsoon cycle. For official heavy-rain warnings and flood alerts, always follow PUB and the Meteorological Service Singapore.
🌧️ Why Singapore Gets So Much Rain
Singapore is located close to the equator and has a tropical climate characterized by high humidity, warm temperatures and abundant rainfall throughout the year.
Strong solar heating warms the surface and the humid air above it. When that warm air rises, it cools and water vapor condenses into clouds.
Under unstable atmospheric conditions, towering cumulonimbus clouds can develop and produce intense thunderstorms.
Singapore’s rainfall is also influenced by regional monsoon winds, sea breezes, Sumatra squalls and larger weather systems.
🧭 Singapore’s Monsoon Seasons
Singapore experiences two primary monsoon seasons separated by inter-monsoon periods.
The Northeast Monsoon generally lasts from December to early March.
The Southwest Monsoon generally occurs from June through September.
Inter-monsoon conditions typically occur from late March through May and again during October and November.
These seasons influence wind direction, rainfall patterns and the types of thunderstorms most likely to affect Singapore.
🌧️ Northeast Monsoon
The Northeast Monsoon is especially important for heavy-rain monitoring.
Its wetter phase usually occurs during the earlier part of the season, when monsoon surges can produce widespread and persistent moderate to heavy rain.
Unlike isolated afternoon thunderstorms, these rain events can affect large parts of Singapore for extended periods.
Later in the Northeast Monsoon, conditions typically become comparatively drier and windier.
💨 What Is a Monsoon Surge?
A monsoon surge is a strengthening of the northeasterly winds associated with the Northeast Monsoon.
These surges can move across the South China Sea and bring widespread cloud cover, stronger winds and prolonged rainfall to Singapore and surrounding areas.
The Meteorological Service Singapore identifies monsoon surges as one of the major weather systems capable of producing heavy rainfall in Singapore.
Because rainfall may continue much longer than a typical afternoon thunderstorm, monsoon surges deserve particular attention when monitoring flood potential.
🌦️ Southwest Monsoon
The Southwest Monsoon generally lasts from June through September.
Singapore often experiences short-duration showers and thunderstorms during this period.
Another important feature of the Southwest Monsoon is the possibility of Sumatra squalls.
These organized lines of thunderstorms can approach Singapore from the west and bring sudden heavy rain, frequent lightning and powerful wind gusts.
⛈️ What Is a Sumatra Squall?
A Sumatra squall is an organized line of thunderstorms that usually develops over Sumatra or the Strait of Malacca before moving eastward toward Singapore.
These systems commonly occur during the Southwest Monsoon and inter-monsoon periods.
According to the Meteorological Service Singapore, they often affect Singapore overnight or during the morning and can produce heavy rainfall lasting roughly one to two hours, along with strong gusty winds.
Because they can arrive rapidly, Sumatra squalls are important for commuters, aviation, marine operations and outdoor activities.
⛈️ Singapore’s Inter-Monsoon Thunderstorms
Singapore experiences two inter-monsoon periods each year.
Winds are often lighter and more variable during these transitional periods.
Strong daytime heating and interactions between local land and sea breezes can then create favorable conditions for thunderstorms.
Afternoon and early-evening thunderstorms can sometimes become intense.
These storms may be relatively short-lived but capable of producing very heavy rainfall over localized parts of the island.
🌊 What Causes Flash Floods in Singapore?
Flash flooding occurs when rainfall produces water faster than drains and waterways can safely carry it away.
Singapore has invested heavily in drainage infrastructure and flood management, but no urban drainage system can completely eliminate flood risk during every extreme rainfall event.
PUB explains that extremely heavy rainfall over a short period can exceed drainage capacity, resulting in localized flash floods.
⏱️ Why Flash Floods Can Develop So Quickly
The intensity of rainfall is crucial.
A moderate amount of rain spread across an entire day may create fewer problems than an enormous amount falling over one neighborhood in a very short period.
Tropical thunderstorms can release large quantities of water rapidly.
Roads, drains and canals must then handle that runoff almost immediately.
This is why conditions can change from normal to flooded within a relatively short time during an intense downpour.
🏙️ Urban Development and Flooding
Singapore is one of the world’s most highly urbanized countries.
Roads, buildings, pavements and other hard surfaces prevent rainfall from soaking naturally into the ground as easily as it might in undeveloped areas.
Instead, much of that water becomes surface runoff that must be managed by drains, canals and other infrastructure.
Singapore has developed an extensive drainage system and continues to invest in flood-resilience improvements.
PUB says it uses a holistic approach that includes drainage improvements, flood monitoring and longer-term coastal protection.
📡 How Singapore Monitors Flood Risk
Singapore has a sophisticated flood-monitoring network.
PUB says its Catchment and Waterways Operations System combines information from more than 1,000 water-level sensors, more than 500 CCTV cameras, rain gauges, weather radar and flood-response resources.
PUB also operates an X-band weather radar capable of providing short-range rainfall forecasts to support flood operations.
These official systems are much more comprehensive than the weather-based indicator displayed by Orbis Weather.
⚠️ Orbis Flood Risk vs Official PUB Flood Alerts
This distinction is extremely important.
The Orbis Weather Flash Flood Risk Indicator is not an official Singapore flood warning.
It uses weather conditions and forecast rainfall to provide general situational awareness.
An elevated Orbis risk level does not mean flooding is definitely occurring.
Likewise, conditions at a specific location can differ from a broad weather-based indicator.
For confirmed flood incidents and official warnings, use PUB and Meteorological Service Singapore information.
🌧️ Heavy Rain Doesn’t Always Mean Flooding
An intense thunderstorm does not automatically produce a flash flood.
Whether flooding develops depends on rainfall intensity, duration, drainage conditions, location, previous rainfall and other factors.
Some parts of Singapore may experience extremely heavy rain while drainage continues to function normally.
This is another reason the weather-based Orbis risk indicator should be treated as an early awareness tool rather than confirmation of flooding.
🚗 Driving During Heavy Rain
Tropical downpours can quickly reduce visibility and leave standing water on roads.
Drivers should slow down, allow additional stopping distance and remain alert for water collecting in low-lying areas.
Never deliberately drive into a flooded road when the depth or condition of the roadway cannot be determined.
Follow road closures, flood alerts and instructions from Singapore authorities.
🚶 Walking During Flash Flooding
Pedestrians should avoid entering floodwater.
Water can conceal drains, uneven surfaces, debris and other hazards.
Fast-moving water can also be more powerful than it appears.
If water is rising, move away from the affected area and follow instructions from local authorities.
🌊 Coastal Flooding Is Different From Flash Flooding
Not all flooding in Singapore is caused by heavy rain.
Coastal flooding can occur when elevated sea levels affect low-lying coastal areas.
PUB notes that high tides, storm surges and longer-term sea-level rise all contribute to Singapore’s coastal flood considerations.
This differs from the localized flash flooding that can develop when intense rainfall overwhelms drainage capacity.
🌕 High Tides and Flood Risk
Singapore generally experiences two high tides each day.
Most high tides do not cause significant flooding.
However, unusually high tides combined with other factors can increase coastal water levels.
Over the longer term, rising sea levels make coastal protection increasingly important for a low-lying island nation.
🌍 Climate Change and Singapore Flood Risk
A warming climate can increase the potential for more extreme rainfall and rising sea levels.
PUB specifically identifies more frequent and intense rainfall as an increasing challenge for Singapore’s drainage and flood-management systems.
Climate change does not mean every thunderstorm will cause flooding.
Instead, it changes the background risk by increasing the potential for extreme weather and coastal-water events.
📍 Is Singapore Flooding Right Now?
The Orbis Weather Singapore Monsoon & Flood Tracker can help identify whether current and short-range weather conditions favor heavy rainfall.
The dashboard displays current rain, forecast rain probability, expected six-hour precipitation and wind conditions.
However, the tracker does not confirm that a particular street or neighborhood is flooded.
For active flood incidents, water levels and official alerts, consult PUB Singapore.
☔ Understanding the 6-Hour Rain Forecast
Short-range rainfall information can be particularly useful in Singapore because tropical weather can change rapidly.
The tracker displays forecast precipitation and rain probability over the next six hours.
These values provide guidance about the possibility and potential amount of rainfall.
They should not be interpreted as a guarantee that a specific neighborhood will receive the displayed amount.
Tropical thunderstorms can be highly localized.
📱 Official Singapore Flood Alerts
PUB provides official flood-monitoring and alert services.
Members of the public can also subscribe to official alerts for heavy rain and rising water levels in selected canals and drains.
For potentially dangerous conditions, these official services should take priority over third-party weather dashboards.
🛰️ Where Does Orbis Weather Get Its Data?
The Orbis Weather Singapore Monsoon & Flood Tracker currently uses Open-Meteo weather information for its weather-based rainfall and flood-risk indicators. The page identifies PUB Singapore as its official flood reference and the Meteorological Service Singapore as its weather reference.
Orbis Weather does not independently issue Singapore flood warnings.
🇸🇬 Monitor Singapore’s Monsoon & Flood Risk
Singapore’s weather can change quickly.
Localized thunderstorms, Sumatra squalls and Northeast Monsoon surges can all produce heavy rainfall, while exceptionally intense downpours can temporarily overwhelm drainage systems and cause flash flooding.
Use the Orbis Weather Singapore Monsoon & Flood Tracker to monitor changing weather conditions and short-range rainfall potential.
For broader regional awareness, also explore Singapore Weather & Natural Hazards, Singapore Lightning & Thunderstorm Tracker, Singapore Haze & Air Quality Tracker and Southeast Asia Natural Hazards.
Important Flood & Weather Disclaimer
The Orbis Weather Singapore Monsoon & Flood Tracker is provided for general information, education and situational awareness.
The Orbis Flash Flood Risk Indicator is a weather-based indicator and is not an official PUB flood alert or warning. Weather forecasts may change, and rainfall can vary significantly across Singapore.
For confirmed flooding, official flood alerts and water-level information, consult PUB Singapore. For official weather forecasts and heavy-rain warnings, consult the Meteorological Service Singapore.
Do not use the Orbis Weather tracker alone for emergency or life-safety decisions.