🌍 Africa Weather & Natural Hazards Today — Tuesday, November 10, 2026

By Paul Harrison | Orbis Weather

Published: Tuesday, November 10, 2026

Coverage: North Africa • West Africa • Central Africa • East Africa • Southern Africa • Madagascar • Southwest Indian Ocean

🌍 Africa Weather Overview: Heavy Rain, Flooding Threats, Extreme Heat and Severe Storms

Africa enters Tuesday, November 10, with contrasting weather conditions across the continent. Morocco faces an officially reported severe-weather alert involving heavy rain, thunderstorms and strong winds, while parts of western South Africa are preparing for exceptionally hot conditions.

Central Africa remains an important region for flooding and persistent tropical rainfall, while East Africa continues to face a complicated mixture of seasonal rain, flooding vulnerability and longer-term drought concerns.

The developing Southern African rainy season and strengthening El Niño are also important factors in the outlook for the weeks ahead.

Tuesday’s main weather developments include:

• 🌧️ Morocco: Orange-level warnings for heavy rainfall, thunderstorms and strong winds, with rainfall potentially reaching 80 mm in affected areas.

• 🔥 South Africa: Extreme heat expected in parts of the Northern Cape and interior Western Cape, with temperatures reaching 36–40°C (97–104°F).

• ⛈️ Central Africa: Continued monitoring of heavy tropical rainfall and localized flooding.

• 🌊 East Africa: Seasonal flooding concerns in parts of Kenya and Somalia, alongside drought conditions affecting other areas.

• ☀️ West Africa: Heat across the Sahel and accumulated rainfall shortages in portions of the Gulf of Guinea region.

• 🌀 Madagascar and Southwest Indian Ocean: Tropical cyclone season monitoring continues.

Morocco’s alert and South Africa’s heat advisory are supported by reporting published November 9. Other regional concerns reflect the November 5–11 hazard assessment and seasonal conditions rather than newly confirmed nationwide warnings.

🚨 1. Africa Natural Hazards Summary — November 10

Important: These assessments describe different levels of risk. A regional monitoring designation does not mean an official weather warning is active throughout the named country.

🏜️ 2. North Africa — Morocco Faces Heavy Rain and Thunderstorms

🇲🇦 Morocco: Orange weather alert issued

Morocco is one of Africa’s most significant severe-weather areas to monitor on Tuesday.

The country’s General Directorate of Meteorology issued an orange-level alert on Monday, November 9, covering periods of heavy thunderstorms, substantial rainfall and strong winds accompanied by blowing dust.

Some affected locations could receive rainfall totals approaching 80 mm (3.1 inches) during the warning period extending through Thursday.

Potential impacts include flash flooding, hazardous driving conditions, reduced visibility and rapidly rising water in normally dry channels.

The greatest danger can develop where intense rainfall reaches steep terrain or urban drainage systems that cannot accommodate sudden downpours.

Residents and travelers should consult updated national meteorological bulletins for the precise provinces and hours covered by each warning.

🇩🇿 Algeria and 🇹🇳 Tunisia

Northern Algeria and Tunisia are entering the cooler, wetter part of the year.

Mediterranean disturbances can bring periods of rain, gusty winds and thunderstorms, particularly near coastal and mountainous areas.

The principal hazards to monitor are localized flooding, slippery mountain roads and strong coastal winds.

No separate nationwide severe-weather alert for November 10 has been verified for either country in this report.

🇱🇾 Libya and 🇪🇬 Egypt

Much of Libya and Egypt generally experiences dry conditions during November, although coastal districts can occasionally be affected by Mediterranean weather systems.

Dust, reduced visibility and sharp differences between daytime and nighttime temperatures remain relevant seasonal concerns.

Flash flooding can occur in desert drainage channels when isolated heavy thunderstorms develop, even where annual rainfall is normally limited.

North Africa outlook: Morocco’s documented heavy-rain warning is the leading immediate regional concern.

🔥 3. Southern Africa — Extreme Heat and Rainfall Risks

🇿🇦 South Africa: Temperatures could reach 40°C

South Africa faces a particularly sharp weather contrast on Tuesday.

The South African Weather Service forecast very hot to extremely hot conditions across parts of the Northern Cape’s Namakwa District and the interior Western Cape.

These temperatures can create dangerous conditions for outdoor workers, older residents, people with underlying medical vulnerabilities and anyone without reliable access to drinking water.

Eastern parts of South Africa are expected to experience comparatively cooler and cloudier weather, with isolated showers possible in northern KwaZulu-Natal.

🌧️ Eastern South Africa: Flooding remains a monitoring concern

Earlier regional hazard guidance for November 5–11 identified increased flooding potential in parts of eastern South Africa.

Areas of particular vulnerability include low-lying communities, river crossings and locations with inadequate drainage.

However, that regional risk should not be confused with a confirmed widespread flood emergency for November 10. The latest national forecast indicates more limited shower activity in some eastern districts.

🇸🇿 Eswatini

Eswatini remains within the earlier regional heavy-rainfall monitoring area.

Its mountainous terrain can accelerate runoff, creating hazards at river crossings and along roads in steep valleys.

Local forecasts and disaster-management bulletins should determine whether additional precautions are necessary.

🇲🇿 Mozambique and 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe

The approaching summer rainfall season is increasingly important for Mozambique and Zimbabwe.

Thunderstorm development, rainfall distribution and soil moisture will influence agriculture and water supplies.

A strengthening El Niño can alter seasonal rainfall patterns, but it does not mean every area will experience drought or that individual heavy-rainfall events cannot occur.

🇿🇲 Zambia, 🇲🇼 Malawi, 🇧🇼 Botswana and 🇳🇦 Namibia

Seasonal weather transitions continue across the interior of Southern Africa.

In Zambia and Malawi, the developing rainy season makes rainfall timing especially important for planting and water resources.

Botswana and Namibia remain sensitive to heat, dry vegetation and changes in seasonal rainfall.

Southern Africa outlook: The most clearly documented November 10 hazard is extreme heat in western South Africa. Flooding vulnerability and the evolution of summer rainfall remain additional monitoring priorities.

🌧️ 4. East Africa — Seasonal Rainfall, Flooding and Drought

🇰🇪 Kenya: Short-rains season under scrutiny

Kenya is within its October–December short-rains period, although rainfall has varied considerably between regions.

Areas commonly vulnerable to heavy-rain impacts include Nairobi, western highlands, Lake Victoria communities, northeastern districts and coastal settlements.

Possible hazards during intense thunderstorms include flash flooding, lightning, landslides and transport disruption.

Kenyan meteorological authorities have also emphasized that El Niño does not automatically guarantee above-average rainfall in every location. Some districts have experienced substantial dryness despite broader seasonal expectations.

🇸🇴 Somalia: Juba and Shabelle river monitoring

Somalia’s Juba and Shabelle river basins remain important areas for flood preparedness.

River levels can respond to rainfall in upstream catchments, including parts of Ethiopia, meaning downstream communities may face rising water even without exceptionally heavy local rainfall.

Potential impacts include flooded farmland, damaged roads, displacement and contamination of drinking-water supplies.

No specific new nationwide river-flood emergency for November 10 has been independently established in this report.

🇪🇹 Ethiopia

Ethiopia’s highland terrain creates substantial differences in local weather conditions.

Southern and southwestern districts can experience seasonal thunderstorms, while higher elevations are more vulnerable to landslides and rapid runoff when rainfall becomes intense.

Travelers should pay particular attention to local mountain-road conditions and short-range forecasts.

🇺🇬 Uganda and 🇸🇸 South Sudan

East Africa’s water-related challenges are not limited to flooding.

Earlier November regional assessments identified persistent rainfall deficits affecting northern Uganda and portions of South Sudan.

At the same time, inundation remains a concern in South Sudan’s extensive Sudd wetlands.

This contrast demonstrates how flood exposure and drought stress can exist within the same broad region.

🇹🇿 Tanzania, 🇷🇼 Rwanda and 🇧🇮 Burundi

The Great Lakes region remains susceptible to thunderstorms, lightning and localized heavy rainfall.

Steep slopes in Rwanda and Burundi can become vulnerable to landslides following prolonged rainfall.

Lake Victoria communities should also monitor marine forecasts because thunderstorms can generate dangerous winds and waves over open water.

East Africa outlook: Rainfall distribution, river levels and accumulated drought conditions remain the region’s most important monitoring priorities.

⛈️ 5. Central Africa — Persistent Tropical Rainfall

Central Africa remains among the continent’s principal rainfall-monitoring regions.

The regional hazards assessment covering November 5–11 identified persistent heavy rainfall and elevated flooding potential across portions of southern Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, the Republic of the Congo and eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo.

🇨🇲 Cameroon and 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea

Frequent tropical rainfall can overwhelm drainage systems, particularly in low-lying urban neighborhoods.

Repeated downpours may increase the risk of road flooding, contaminated water and damage to vulnerable infrastructure.

🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo

Persistent rainfall can increase runoff into smaller rivers and drainage channels.

Communities near flood-prone waterways should monitor changing river conditions and local emergency information.

🇨🇩 Democratic Republic of the Congo

Eastern DR Congo is particularly vulnerable to heavy-rainfall impacts because of its steep terrain and densely populated settlements.

Potential hazards include flash flooding, landslides, damaged roads and isolated communities following intense rainfall.

🇬🇦 Gabon and 🇨🇫 Central African Republic

Tropical rainfall remains an important seasonal feature across portions of equatorial Africa.

Localized flooding is possible during intense downpours, although a new widespread emergency for November 10 has not been verified for these countries.

Central Africa outlook: Persistent rainfall and flood vulnerability remain significant, particularly where saturated soils, steep slopes and inadequate drainage increase exposure.

☀️ 6. West Africa — Sahel Heat and Rainfall Shortages

🇳🇬 Nigeria

Nigeria continues its seasonal transition toward drier conditions, particularly across northern regions.

Southern areas may still experience showers and isolated thunderstorms, while northern districts increasingly face dry weather, heat and dust-related visibility concerns.

The contrast between the humid south and the drier north remains important for agriculture and transportation.

🇬🇭 Ghana, 🇨🇮 Côte d’Ivoire and 🇱🇷 Liberia

Accumulated rainfall shortages remain a concern across portions of the Gulf of Guinea region.

Earlier November regional guidance identified below-average rainfall affecting central and eastern Liberia, southern Côte d’Ivoire and southern Ghana.

Extended rainfall deficits can reduce soil moisture and affect agriculture, vegetation and water availability.

🇲🇱 Mali, 🇳🇪 Niger, 🇹🇩 Chad and 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso

High daytime temperatures remain an important concern across the Sahel.

Heat exposure can become dangerous for agricultural workers, outdoor laborers and communities with limited access to cooling or dependable water supplies.

Dry vegetation and gusty winds may also contribute to fire-weather concerns, although this report does not establish any specific new major wildfire.

West Africa outlook: Heat, seasonal drying and accumulated rainfall deficits are the principal concerns.

🌀 7. Madagascar and Southwest Indian Ocean — Tropical Cyclone Monitoring

🇲🇬 Madagascar

Madagascar is approaching the more active part of the Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclone season.

November is an important time to review coastal preparedness, rainfall vulnerability and emergency communication arrangements.

Tropical systems in this basin can produce destructive winds, heavy rainfall, flooding, landslides and dangerous seas.

🇲🇺 Mauritius, 🇷🇪 Réunion and 🇸🇨 Seychelles

Island communities should continue monitoring official marine forecasts and tropical cyclone bulletins.

Ocean swell and heavy rainfall can sometimes affect islands even when the center of a tropical system remains offshore.

Cyclone status: A verified basin-wide list of active tropical systems, their positions and intensities was not available from the sources reviewed for this article. Consequently, no claim is made that the basin is storm-free or that a named cyclone is active on November 10.

Official information is available from Météo-France La Réunion and the Mauritius Meteorological Services.

🌋 8. Africa Earthquake and Volcano Monitoring

🌋 East African Rift System

The East African Rift remains one of the continent’s most geologically active regions.

Countries with important earthquake and volcanic hazards include Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

🇨🇩 Democratic Republic of the Congo

The Virunga volcanic region contains some of Africa’s best-known active volcanoes, including Nyamuragira and Nyiragongo.

Potential hazards include lava flows, volcanic gases, earthquakes and disruption to nearby communities.

🇪🇹 Ethiopia

Ethiopia’s Afar region is geologically active, with volcanic systems and fault zones associated with the separation of tectonic plates.

Earthquake swarms and volcanic unrest require scientific monitoring rather than assumptions based on individual tremors.

🌍 Earthquake status — November 10

No verified continent-wide earthquake event inventory for November 10 was obtained for this report. Therefore, no specific new earthquake magnitude, depth, casualty figure or volcanic eruption is being claimed.

Readers can consult the USGS Latest Earthquakes and European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre for current seismic records.

🌡️ 9. Africa Temperature and Climate Outlook

Africa’s temperature patterns vary enormously between the Sahara, equatorial rainforests, highland regions and the Southern Hemisphere.

The only specific temperature range independently confirmed for November 10 in this report is the 36–40°C (97–104°F) forecast for affected areas of western South Africa. Other descriptions are regional seasonal characteristics, not measured temperatures for every city.

🌊 10. El Niño and Africa’s Changing Rainfall Patterns

The World Meteorological Organization reported in September that the established 2026 El Niño event was expected to strengthen further, potentially becoming very strong.

The WMO warned that the event could influence global rainfall and temperature patterns, increasing the likelihood of extreme weather in some regions.

For Africa, the implications vary geographically.

Southern Africa can experience increased drought risk during some strong El Niño events, while parts of East Africa may experience shifts in seasonal rainfall.

However, these relationships are not uniform or guaranteed.

Local ocean temperatures, atmospheric circulation, regional geography and short-term weather systems all influence the eventual outcome.

Why this matters: A seasonal forecast indicating elevated drought risk does not rule out damaging thunderstorms or flooding. Similarly, a wetter-than-average seasonal outlook does not mean every community will receive sufficient rainfall.

This distinction is especially important for agriculture, food security and water management.

📅 11. Africa Weather Outlook — November 10–12, 2026

This is a regional monitoring outlook, not a verified city-by-city forecast for all three days. Forecast conditions and official warnings can change substantially.

🛡️ 12. Weather and Natural Hazard Safety Advice

• 🌊 Flooding: Never drive through flooded roads. Water depth and road damage may be impossible to judge.

• ⛈️ Thunderstorms: Move indoors when thunder is heard. Avoid exposed terrain, isolated trees and open water.

• 🔥 Extreme heat: Drink water regularly, reduce strenuous activity during peak heat and check on vulnerable people.

• 🏜️ Dust storms: Reduce travel when visibility deteriorates and follow respiratory-health guidance.

• 🌋 Volcanic hazards: Follow observatory notices and evacuation instructions rather than unverified social media reports.

• 🌀 Tropical cyclones: Monitor national meteorological services and prepare for possible power, transport and communication disruptions.

• ⛰️ Landslides: Avoid unstable slopes and steep drainage channels during prolonged heavy rainfall.

🔎 13. What Orbis Weather Is Monitoring Next

Over the next 24–72 hours, Orbis Weather will prioritize the evolution of Morocco’s severe-weather warnings, the extent of extreme heat in western South Africa, and rainfall conditions across equatorial Central Africa.

Additional areas of interest include East Africa’s contrasting flood and drought vulnerabilities, rainfall deficits in parts of West Africa, and developing seasonal weather patterns across Southern Africa.

Tropical cyclone monitoring in the Southwest Indian Ocean will also become increasingly important as the season progresses.

The broader influence of El Niño remains a significant concern for rainfall, agriculture and water resources.

📰 14. Africa Weather Summary — November 10, 2026

Africa faces a wide variety of weather and natural hazards on Tuesday.

Morocco is under an orange-level alert for heavy rain, thunderstorms and strong winds, while extreme heat is forecast across parts of western South Africa.

Central Africa continues to face persistent rainfall and localized flooding vulnerability. East Africa remains affected by contrasting seasonal conditions, including potential flooding in some locations and accumulated rainfall deficits in others.

Across West Africa, heat and dryness remain important concerns as the region transitions further into its dry season.

The strengthening El Niño event adds longer-term uncertainty to rainfall patterns across the continent.

Orbis Weather will continue following these developments, distinguishing verified weather warnings from broader regional risks and seasonal outlooks.