Tropical Atlantic Daily Report: Wednesday, November 11, 2026

By Paul Harrison, Orbis Weather

Current to 6:47 AM EST (11:47 UTC) on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Based on the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, November 10, and the Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion issued at 1215 UTC (7:15 AM EST) on Tuesday, November 10, the newest available at the time of writing.

At a glance

The Atlantic basin is quiet: there are no tropical cyclones, and NHC does not expect any to form in the next seven days.

• Active storms: none in the open Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico.
• Threat to land: no tropical system threatens land, so this report has no storm-threat section today.
• Disturbances: NHC lists no areas to watch, so there are no 48-hour or 7-day formation chances.
• Season to date: 10 named storms, 1 hurricane and 1 major hurricane, below the 1991-2020 average for this date. The season ends on November 30.

The National Hurricane Center and national weather services issue the official forecasts and warnings. Follow any evacuation order immediately.

Active storms

There are no active tropical cyclones, subtropical cyclones or potential tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin, according to the NHC home page (last updated 1330 UTC on November 10). The most recent named storm, Subtropical Storm Josephine, lasted from October 21 to 22.

Disturbances to watch

NHC is monitoring no disturbances. Its latest outlook states: “Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.”

The Tropical Weather Discussion (1215 UTC, November 10) describes non-tropical weather instead. A 996-millibar low near 31°N, 39°W was bringing gales and very rough seas to the central Atlantic, with seas forecast to fall below 8 feet (2.4 meters) by Wednesday evening. A cold front was forecast to leave the Texas coast Wednesday night and cross the Gulf of Mexico, exiting by Friday, with fresh to locally strong winds behind it. The discussion contains no sections on tropical waves, Saharan dust or wind shear.

Season so far

The 2026 season is running below average, with three fewer named storms and five fewer hurricanes than a typical season by this date.

2026 figures are from NHC’s season summary, as of 0300 UTC on November 10. Averages are from NHC climatology; the by-date figures are read from its table of average dates (13th named storm by October 25, 7th hurricane by November 15, 3rd major hurricane by October 28). The season’s only hurricane, Isaias, reached 105 knots (about 120 mph [195 km/h]) in October. NHC puts accumulated cyclone energy 83% below normal, with one direct death and $1.1 billion in US damage.

The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Center ENSO discussion (October 8) keeps an El Niño Advisory in effect and expects a strong-to-very-strong El Niño through January-March 2027.

What to watch next

The main items in the coming days are routine updates rather than any developing system.

• NHC Tropical Weather Outlook: the next issue will confirm whether the seven-day outlook stays clear.
• Gulf of Mexico cold front: the NHC discussion expected it to cross the basin Wednesday night through Friday; local National Weather Service offices issue marine and coastal forecasts.
• Second front off the Southeast US coast: the NHC discussion expected it to move offshore Thursday, with fresh to strong winds into the weekend.
• NOAA CPC ENSO update: the next monthly discussion is scheduled for Thursday, November 12.
• End of season: the official Atlantic hurricane season ends on Monday, November 30, 19 days from now.

About this report

This report summarizes NHC and NOAA products available at 6:47 AM EST (11:47 UTC) on November 11, 2026; issue times appear beside each figure. NHC text products use Eastern Standard Time (EST) or Coordinated Universal Time (UTC), and both are given. It is a summary for general readers, not a forecast or warning, and newer NHC products replace anything here. Orbis Weather covers the Pacific basins in separate reports.

Glossary

• Tropical cyclone: a rotating storm system that forms over warm tropical water; it includes tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes.
• Subtropical storm: a storm with a mix of tropical and non-tropical features, such as this season’s Josephine.
• Major hurricane: a hurricane of Category 3 or stronger on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
• Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE): a measure of a season’s total activity that combines how strong storms were and how long they lasted.
• El Niño: a periodic warming of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean that affects weather patterns worldwide.

Frequently asked questions

Is any tropical storm threatening land in the Atlantic today? No. NHC reports no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico, and it does not expect any to form within seven days.

Is hurricane season over? Not officially. The Atlantic season runs from June 1 to November 30, so 19 days remain, although NHC’s climatology puts the season’s peak on September 10.

How does 2026 compare with an average season? It has been quieter than average. There have been 10 named storms against an average of 13 by this date, and only one hurricane against an average of six.

What is the weather doing over the Gulf of Mexico this week? NHC’s discussion expected a cold front to cross the Gulf of Mexico from Wednesday night to Friday, followed by fresh to locally strong winds. This is a non-tropical system, and local National Weather Service offices handle its forecasts.

Sources

• National Hurricane Center home page (last updated 1330 UTC, November 10, 2026)
• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook (7:00 PM EST, November 10, 2026)
• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion (1215 UTC, November 10, 2026)
• NHC 2026 Atlantic tropical cyclone reports and season summary (as of 0300 UTC, November 10, 2026)
• NHC tropical cyclone climatology (1991-2020 averages)
• NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion (October 8, 2026)