Tropical Atlantic Daily Report: Friday, November 13, 2026

By Paul Harrison, Orbis Weather

Current to 7:00 AM EST Friday, November 13, 2026 (1200 UTC). Based on the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 7:00 AM EST (1200 UTC) and the Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion built on the 0600 UTC surface analysis of November 13.

At a glance

The Atlantic basin is quiet: no tropical cyclones are active, and NHC does not expect any to form in the next seven days.

• Active storms: none in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico.
• Threats to land: none from tropical systems today, so this report has no storm-threat section.
• Disturbances: NHC’s outlook lists no areas to watch.
• Weather that does matter: cold fronts are crossing the Gulf of Mexico and Florida, and NHC has a gale warning out for part of the north-central Atlantic.
• Season to date: 10 named storms, 1 hurricane and 1 major hurricane, below the 1991-2020 average for this date.

The National Hurricane Center and national weather services issue the official forecasts and warnings. If local officials order an evacuation, follow it immediately.

Active storms

There are no active tropical or subtropical cyclones, and no potential tropical cyclones, in the Atlantic basin. The last NHC home-page update read, “There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.” The only active system NHC was tracking is Tropical Depression Pena in the central Pacific, covered in Orbis Weather’s Pacific reports.

Disturbances to watch

NHC is watching no disturbances. Its outlook for the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico states: “Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.”

The Tropical Weather Discussion lists no tropical waves and does not mention Saharan dust or wind shear. Instead it describes fronts and wind:

• Gulf of Mexico: a cold front stretches from central Florida to northern Mexico. Another is expected to move off the Texas coast Monday morning, and NHC says winds near gale force are possible in the far northeastern Gulf early next week.
• Western Atlantic: a cold front runs from 31N 79W to 29N 81W, which by those coordinates places it near the northeast Florida coast. Fresh to strong winds blow on both sides of it.
• North-central Atlantic: a gale warning is in effect, with southwest winds reaching gale force north of about 29N late tonight into Saturday.
• Caribbean Sea: fresh to strong trade winds east of 75W are forecast to ease by Saturday.

Season so far

The 2026 season is running well below normal, with 10 named storms but only 1 hurricane, which became the season’s only major hurricane. The comparison below uses the 1991-2020 average to mid-November, read from NHC’s table of average formation dates.

The 2026 counts come from NHC’s season summary as of 2100 UTC November 11. The same summary puts accumulated cyclone energy at 19.9, 83 percent below normal. The one hurricane, Isaias (October 6-10), peaked at 105 knots (120 mph, 195 km/h). The most recent system, Subtropical Storm Josephine, ended on October 22. The season officially runs to November 30.

ENSO: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center kept its El Niño Advisory in place in its November 12 discussion.

What to watch next

With no tropical activity expected, the main items to follow over the next few days are marine and frontal weather.

• NHC Tropical Weather Outlook: the next routine issue later today will confirm whether the seven-day outlook stays clear.
• North-central Atlantic gale: the gale warning runs late tonight into Saturday; NHC’s Tropical Weather Discussion carries updates.
• Gulf of Mexico fronts: a new cold front off the Texas coast Monday morning, with near-gale winds possible in the far northeastern Gulf early next week, per NHC. Local National Weather Service offices issue coastal advisories.
• End of the season: the official Atlantic season closes on November 30.
• ENSO: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center publishes its next monthly ENSO discussion in December.

About this report

This report summarizes official products from the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center and NHC’s climatology pages, plus a reference season page. It is current to 7:00 AM EST (1200 UTC) on November 13, 2026. NHC times are given in Eastern Standard Time (EST) or UTC, as NHC uses them. Season counts reflect NHC’s November 11 summary and may lag a day or two. This is a summary, not a forecast or warning; NHC and national weather services issue those.

Glossary

• Tropical wave: a band of low pressure moving westward across the tropics, which can seed tropical storms.
• Named storm: a tropical or subtropical cyclone that has reached tropical-storm strength and received a name.
• Major hurricane: a hurricane of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which rates hurricanes from 1 to 5 by sustained wind.
• Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE): a measure of a season’s combined storm strength and duration.
• El Niño: warming of the central and eastern tropical Pacific that can affect weather worldwide.

Frequently asked questions

Is any tropical storm threatening land today? No. There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico. NHC does not expect any to form in the next seven days.

Is hurricane season over? Not officially. The Atlantic season runs to November 30. NHC’s current outlook shows no expected development through about November 20.

Why is the Gulf of Mexico windy if there are no storms? Cold fronts are moving through. NHC says another front should move off the Texas coast Monday morning, with near-gale winds possible in the far northeastern Gulf early next week.

How does 2026 compare with a normal season? It is below average. The season has 10 named storms, 1 hurricane and 1 major hurricane, against averages by this date of 13, 6 and 3.

Sources

• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook — issued 7:00 AM EST Fri Nov 13, 2026
• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion — November 13, 2026 issue, based on the 0600 UTC surface analysis
• National Hurricane Center home page — last updated 1330 UTC Nov 12, 2026
• NHC 2026 Atlantic tropical cyclone reports and season summary — as of 2100 UTC Nov 11, 2026
• NHC Tropical Cyclone Climatology — 1991-2020 averages
• NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion — issued November 12, 2026
• 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, Wikipedia — season end date; page content current only to early September